Forecasts

Articles filed under Forecasts

How to Build a Simple 12-Month Market Outlook Without a Crystal Ball

How to Build a Simple 12-Month Market Outlook Without a Crystal Ball

October 24, 2026 Forecasts

A useful annual market outlook is a set of weighted scenarios and tripwires, not a single number. Here is a practical method...

The January Effect Explained: Does the First Month Really Favor Small Caps?

The January Effect Explained: Does the First Month Really Favor Small Caps?

October 17, 2026 Forecasts

The January effect suggests small caps outperform in the first month of the year. The evidence is thinner than the folklore,...